V is for Venture...and for Virtualization
When back in 2005 we asked our globe-girdling network of industry executives, enterprise architects,
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He Completely Saw Virtualization Coming: Is This the Industry's Most Prescient Man?
When in 2005 we asked our globe-girdling network of industry executives, enterprise architects, software engineers, technology evangelists, analysts, and VCs to pinpoint what they thought the Next Big Thing would be, only one respondent singled out Virtualization and that was software industry legend Mitchell Kertzman, of San Francisco-based VC firm Hummer Winblad.
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IBM commercially introduced virtualization in 1967, it's not the "next" big thing, it's been around for over 40 years. It JUST recently (even "recently" is a relative statement over 40 years) was embraced and exploited by the x86 world, both AMD and Intel are finally stepping up and putting the hardware features in to support it better, features that have existed on other platforms for years. What's more interesting is to realize that there are three logical virtualization layers:

1. HW virtualization (goes back to 1967) includes not just the processor and memory, but also storage, network, I/O, ...

2. Middleware virtualization (goes back to the early 80s at least)

3. Service (SOA) virtualization, more recently formalized

One last thing, Bill predicted a lot of things that obviously in hind site didn't pan out. For example

"640K of memory should be enough for anybody" is a classic example

> what was that famous observation of [Gates], the
> worst prediction ever made?

Do you mean when Gates said at the launch of MSX in 1983: "Windows will never be a 32-bit OS"?! Nice one Bill :-)

> what was that famous observation of [Gates], the
> worst prediction ever made?

Do you mean when Gates said at the launch of MSX in 1983: "Windows will never be a 32-bit OS"?! Nice one Bill :-)

Didn't Gates declare in January 2004 at the World Economic Forum in Switzerland that spam would be "dead in 24 months"? That's about as off as you can get?!

It might be interesting to compare other industry legends such as Bill Gates...what was that famous observation of his, the worst prediction ever made?


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